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29 May 2013






Better Place and Li-ion Battery Technological Development

About three years ago I received a call from a prominent investor in the US. He asked me for advice on Better Place. I told him that Better Place had an essential flaw in its approach: It underestimated Li-ion battery technological development.

I then went on to say that we would not have to wait too long to see much better batteries making the costly battery-swap stations envisioned by Better Place both meaningless and out of focus. I was found to be correct.

I insist that the battery-swap idea was probably the problem. Why? Well, because it relied heavily on failure of all battery/EV makers to bring soon enough and at a fairly reasonable price the appropriate batteries to the market.

True many battery makers failed in their attempt to do so. But some of them succeeded and thanks to them we can now foresee a brighter future for EVs altogether.

One success story is Tesla but not the only one. Nissan's Leaf and GM's Volt are also part of the list of winning cases in the new history of introduction of EVs into the market.

Somewhat surprisingly, Ford doesn't want to be a laggard in the race either. This will result in cheaper lithium technology in the very near future.

Behind are therefore left some analysts's presumptions that it will take decades to see substantial advances in Li-ion battery technological development.

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Juan Carlos Zuleta

La Paz

Bolivia

Bolivian. I hold a Masters“in Agricultural and Applied Economics from the University of Minnesota and did Ph.D. studies in Economics at the New School for Social Research. My main interest now is in research on the economics of lithium, subject on which I have published a number of articles since 1992. Due to two main contributions to EV World.Com in 2008, I was invited to participate as a speaker at the inaugural Lithium Supply & Markets Conference held in January 2009 in Santiago, Chile.

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